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Additional Considerations Required While Assessing Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd's (SHSE:603179) Strong Earnings
Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive Trim Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603179) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd
A Closer Look At Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.29 for the year to March 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥712m despite its profit of CN¥858.2m, mentioned above. We also note that Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥712m.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd's Profit Performance
Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be familiar with.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603179
Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd
Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells automotive interior and exterior trim system parts and molds in China, Southeast Asia, North America, and Europe.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.
Market Insights
Weekly Picks
Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08
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