Stock Analysis

Is Enel Chile (SNSE:ENELCHILE) A Risky Investment?

SNSE:ENELCHILE
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Enel Chile S.A. (SNSE:ENELCHILE) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Enel Chile

How Much Debt Does Enel Chile Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Enel Chile had CL$5.10t of debt, up from CL$3.14t a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CL$283.9b in cash leading to net debt of about CL$4.81t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:ENELCHILE Debt to Equity History September 14th 2022

A Look At Enel Chile's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Enel Chile had liabilities of CL$3.15t due within 12 months and liabilities of CL$4.37t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CL$283.9b and CL$1.07t worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CL$6.17t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CL$2.40t company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Enel Chile would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.4, it's fair to say Enel Chile does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.2 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Even worse, Enel Chile saw its EBIT tank 67% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Enel Chile's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Enel Chile burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Enel Chile's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. It's also worth noting that Enel Chile is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Enel Chile really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Enel Chile is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Enel Chile might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SNSE:ENELCHILE

Enel Chile

An electricity utility company, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Chile.

Moderate and fair value.

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