- Chile
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- Water Utilities
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- SNSE:AGUAS-A
Aguas Andinas (SNSE:AGUAS-A) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Aguas Andinas S.A. (SNSE:AGUAS-A) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Aguas Andinas
What Is Aguas Andinas's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Aguas Andinas had CL$1.35t of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CL$107.8b, its net debt is less, at about CL$1.24t.
How Healthy Is Aguas Andinas' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Aguas Andinas had liabilities of CL$252.8b due within a year, and liabilities of CL$1.31t falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CL$107.8b in cash and CL$128.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CL$1.32t more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CL$1.62t. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Aguas Andinas's debt is 3.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 6.3 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Importantly Aguas Andinas's EBIT was essentially flat over the last twelve months. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Aguas Andinas can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Aguas Andinas recorded free cash flow of 33% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Both Aguas Andinas's net debt to EBITDA and its level of total liabilities were discouraging. But its not so bad at covering its interest expense with its EBIT. It's also worth noting that Aguas Andinas is in the Water Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Aguas Andinas is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Aguas Andinas (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SNSE:AGUAS-A
Aguas Andinas
Aguas Andinas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, constructs and operates as a water utility company in Chile.
Undervalued with acceptable track record.