United Parcel Service, Inc.

SNSE:UPSCL Stock Report

Market Cap: CL$114.6t

United Parcel Service Valuation

Is UPSCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UPSCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UPSCL (CLP149286) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CLP84701.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UPSCL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UPSCL?

Key metric: As UPSCL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UPSCL. This is calculated by dividing UPSCL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UPSCL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.7x
EarningsUS$5.67b
Market CapUS$117.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UPSCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UPSCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
FDX FedEx
18.3x10.8%US$74.6b
DSV DSV
32.2x10.0%DKK 348.0b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.4x9.0%€40.0b
002352 S.F. Holding
21x13.0%CN¥201.7b
UPSCL United Parcel Service
20.7x13.0%CL$117.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UPSCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the peer average (21.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UPSCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UPSCL 20.7xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UPSCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UPSCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UPSCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UPSCL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UPSCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$149,286.00
CL$147,048.15
-1.5%
11.7%CL$182,274.95CL$98,527.00n/a29
Nov ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$143,456.08
-3.9%
11.8%CL$177,781.30CL$96,098.00n/a29
Oct ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$136,145.42
-8.8%
13.0%CL$178,837.50CL$94,125.00n/a28
Sep ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$133,303.66
-10.7%
13.4%CL$173,641.00CL$91,390.00n/a29
Aug ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$140,694.93
-5.8%
14.2%CL$180,957.90CL$95,241.00n/a29
Jul ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$153,037.23
+2.5%
12.5%CL$193,843.90CL$94,558.00n/a29
Jun ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$144,760.21
-3.0%
12.5%CL$182,640.65CL$89,093.00n/a28
May ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$154,411.52
+3.4%
12.1%CL$194,262.10CL$94,762.00n/a30
Apr ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$156,453.76
+4.8%
12.9%CL$205,917.60CL$98,056.00n/a29
Mar ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$156,773.78
+5.0%
13.1%CL$205,327.50CL$92,886.25n/a29
Feb ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$150,406.65
+0.8%
14.0%CL$200,397.20CL$88,547.60n/a30
Jan ’25CL$149,286.00
CL$148,036.63
-0.8%
14.3%CL$196,075.00CL$89,125.00n/a30
Dec ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$143,869.16
-3.6%
14.4%CL$191,169.00CL$86,895.00n/a30
Nov ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$149,262.13
-0.02%
14.4%CL$196,900.00CL$89,500.00CL$149,286.0030
Oct ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$164,158.39
+10.0%
12.4%CL$204,729.90CL$89,013.00CL$149,286.0029
Sep ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$165,353.06
+10.8%
11.7%CL$200,238.00CL$87,060.00CL$149,286.0030
Aug ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$159,696.79
+7.0%
12.3%CL$192,935.50CL$83,885.00CL$149,286.0029
Jul ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$152,616.16
+2.2%
12.0%CL$184,846.40CL$80,368.00CL$149,286.0030
Jun ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$154,747.05
+3.7%
11.7%CL$186,247.10CL$80,977.00CL$149,286.0029
May ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$152,150.66
+1.9%
11.4%CL$180,483.75CL$80,215.00CL$149,286.0028
Apr ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$154,652.19
+3.6%
11.8%CL$181,264.50CL$80,562.00CL$149,286.0030
Mar ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$150,781.64
+1.0%
11.8%CL$178,546.85CL$78,655.00CL$149,286.0030
Feb ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$150,781.64
+1.0%
11.8%CL$178,546.85CL$78,655.00CL$149,286.0030
Jan ’24CL$149,286.00
CL$169,473.62
+13.5%
13.1%CL$223,277.05CL$88,955.00CL$149,286.0031
Dec ’23CL$149,286.00
CL$169,329.26
+13.4%
13.1%CL$224,225.83CL$89,333.00CL$149,286.0031
Nov ’23CL$149,286.00
CL$179,131.74
+20.0%
12.4%CL$236,883.76CL$94,376.00CL$149,286.0031

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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