Stock Analysis

Sociedad Matriz SAAM (SNSE:SMSAAM) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SNSE:SMSAAM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A. (SNSE:SMSAAM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Sociedad Matriz SAAM

What Is Sociedad Matriz SAAM's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sociedad Matriz SAAM had debt of US$503.4m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from US$659.6m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$142.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$360.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:SMSAAM Debt to Equity History April 5th 2023

A Look At Sociedad Matriz SAAM's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sociedad Matriz SAAM had liabilities of US$448.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$565.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$142.5m as well as receivables valued at US$139.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$731.8m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$1.01b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Sociedad Matriz SAAM's debt is 2.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.4 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Another concern for investors might be that Sociedad Matriz SAAM's EBIT fell 15% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Sociedad Matriz SAAM's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Sociedad Matriz SAAM produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Sociedad Matriz SAAM's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. In particular, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was re-invigorating. It's also worth noting that Sociedad Matriz SAAM is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Sociedad Matriz SAAM's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Sociedad Matriz SAAM has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.