Stock Analysis

Does Sociedad Matriz SAAM (SNSE:SMSAAM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SNSE:SMSAAM
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A. (SNSE:SMSAAM) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sociedad Matriz SAAM

What Is Sociedad Matriz SAAM's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Sociedad Matriz SAAM had US$730.5m of debt, an increase on US$638.0m, over one year. However, it does have US$130.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$600.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:SMSAAM Debt to Equity History September 6th 2023

How Strong Is Sociedad Matriz SAAM's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sociedad Matriz SAAM had liabilities of US$599.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$626.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$130.5m in cash and US$157.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$938.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.13b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Sociedad Matriz SAAM's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Sociedad Matriz SAAM has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.3 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.0 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Fortunately, Sociedad Matriz SAAM grew its EBIT by 4.5% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sociedad Matriz SAAM's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Sociedad Matriz SAAM created free cash flow amounting to 14% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

To be frank both Sociedad Matriz SAAM's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. It's also worth noting that Sociedad Matriz SAAM is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Sociedad Matriz SAAM stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Sociedad Matriz SAAM you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.