Stock Analysis

Here's Why Parque Arauco (SNSE:PARAUCO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

SNSE:PARAUCO
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Parque Arauco S.A. (SNSE:PARAUCO) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Parque Arauco

How Much Debt Does Parque Arauco Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Parque Arauco had CL$1.34t of debt, an increase on CL$1.15t, over one year. On the flip side, it has CL$368.6b in cash leading to net debt of about CL$972.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:PARAUCO Debt to Equity History November 16th 2023

How Strong Is Parque Arauco's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Parque Arauco had liabilities of CL$423.0b due within a year, and liabilities of CL$1.39t falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CL$368.6b as well as receivables valued at CL$56.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CL$1.38t.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CL$1.16t, we think shareholders really should watch Parque Arauco's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.1, it's fair to say Parque Arauco does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 6.6 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Parque Arauco grew its EBIT by 4.7% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Parque Arauco can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Parque Arauco generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 93% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Parque Arauco's net debt to EBITDA and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. We think that Parque Arauco's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Parque Arauco (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Parque Arauco is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.