Stock Analysis

Is Cementos Bio Bio (SNSE:CEMENTOS) A Risky Investment?

SNSE:CEMENTOS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Cementos Bio Bio S.A. (SNSE:CEMENTOS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Cementos Bio Bio

What Is Cementos Bio Bio's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Cementos Bio Bio had CL$99.4b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CL$40.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CL$58.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:CEMENTOS Debt to Equity History May 10th 2021

How Healthy Is Cementos Bio Bio's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cementos Bio Bio had liabilities of CL$62.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CL$141.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CL$40.5b and CL$36.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CL$126.3b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CL$204.8b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Cementos Bio Bio's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Cementos Bio Bio has net debt worth 1.7 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 6.1 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Also good is that Cementos Bio Bio grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Cementos Bio Bio's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Cementos Bio Bio generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 99% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, Cementos Bio Bio's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Cementos Bio Bio can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cementos Bio Bio (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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