Stock Analysis

Is Empresas Iansa (SNSE:IANSA) A Risky Investment?

SNSE:IANSA
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Empresas Iansa S.A. (SNSE:IANSA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Empresas Iansa

What Is Empresas Iansa's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Empresas Iansa had US$75.6m of debt in September 2023, down from US$189.4m, one year before. However, it does have US$36.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$39.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:IANSA Debt to Equity History January 12th 2024

A Look At Empresas Iansa's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Empresas Iansa had liabilities of US$248.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$94.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$36.5m as well as receivables valued at US$156.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$150.4m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$99.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Empresas Iansa would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Given net debt is only 1.5 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Empresas Iansa's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.8 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Pleasingly, Empresas Iansa is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 710% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Empresas Iansa's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Empresas Iansa saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Empresas Iansa's level of total liabilities and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Empresas Iansa to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Empresas Iansa (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Empresas Iansa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.