David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Sigdo Koppers S.A. (SNSE:SK) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Sigdo Koppers
What Is Sigdo Koppers's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Sigdo Koppers had debt of US$1.26b, up from US$1.19b in one year. However, it does have US$503.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$760.9m.
A Look At Sigdo Koppers' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Sigdo Koppers had liabilities of US$939.9m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.21b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$503.7m and US$420.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.22b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$1.21b, we think shareholders really should watch Sigdo Koppers's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Sigdo Koppers has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.5 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Even more troubling is the fact that Sigdo Koppers actually let its EBIT decrease by 4.2% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Sigdo Koppers's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Sigdo Koppers recorded free cash flow worth 74% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Sigdo Koppers's level of total liabilities and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Sigdo Koppers is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Sigdo Koppers has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About SNSE:SK
Sigdo Koppers
Engages in services, industrial, and commercial and automotive businesses worldwide.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.