Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Quiñenco S.A. (SNSE:QUINENCO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Quiñenco's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Quiñenco had CL$19t in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CL$2.04t, its net debt is less, at about CL$17t.
How Strong Is Quiñenco's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Quiñenco had liabilities of CL$15t due within 12 months, and liabilities of CL$39t due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CL$2.04t in cash and CL$1.62t in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CL$50t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CL$4.78t company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Quiñenco would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
As it happens Quiñenco has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.5 but very strong interest coverage of 14.4. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We saw Quiñenco grow its EBIT by 3.9% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Quiñenco will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Quiñenco actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about Quiñenco's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow were encouraging signs. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Quiñenco's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Quiñenco (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About SNSE:QUINENCO
Quiñenco
Quiñenco S.A., a business conglomerate, operates in the industrial and financial services sectors in Chile and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet slight.