With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.3x Temenos AG (VTX:TEMN) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Switzerland have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 12x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Temenos hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Keen to find out how analysts think Temenos' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Temenos' Growth Trending?
Temenos' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.9% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 7.8% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 16% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 8.7% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Temenos' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Temenos' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Temenos is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Temenos. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:TEMN
Temenos
Develops, markets, and sells integrated banking software systems to banking and other financial institutions worldwide.
Reasonable growth potential average dividend payer.