Carvana Co.

SWX:CVNA Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 58.2b

Carvana Valuation

Is CVNA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of CVNA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: CVNA (CHF54.12) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF25.15)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: CVNA is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CVNA?

Key metric: As CVNA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CVNA. This is calculated by dividing CVNA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CVNA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.8x
EarningsUS$1.44b
Market CapUS$71.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CVNA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CVNA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.7x
AVOL Avolta
37.3x12.13%CHF 7.4b
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive
27.9x6.30%US$72.5b
AZO AutoZone
20.3x9.15%US$49.7b
ADNOCDIST Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC
17.2x4.81%د.إ50.0b
CVNA Carvana
33.8x17.62%CHF 71.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CVNA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the peer average (25.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CVNA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CVNA 33.8xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CVNA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CVNA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CVNA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CVNA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CVNA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 53.48
CHF 74.59
+39.47%
12.98%CHF 97.19CHF 54.27n/a21
Jun ’27CHF 55.37
CHF 73.08
+31.98%
12.19%CHF 94.39CHF 52.70n/a21
May ’27CHF 60.53
CHF 72.70
+20.12%
12.22%CHF 93.80CHF 52.37n/a21
Apr ’27CHF 49.30
CHF 68.52
+39.00%
13.40%CHF 83.00CHF 47.97n/a22
Mar ’27CHF 51.73
CHF 66.37
+28.30%
13.40%CHF 80.38CHF 46.46n/a22
Feb ’27CHF 63.31
CHF 74.03
+16.93%
13.66%CHF 91.86CHF 50.52n/a22
Jan ’27n/a
CHF 70.36
0%
12.42%CHF 86.68CHF 52.01n/a23
Dec ’26n/a
CHF 67.73
0%
11.03%CHF 80.48CHF 53.12n/a23
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 67.78
0%
11.67%CHF 80.47CHF 53.11n/a20
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 67.26
0%
11.76%CHF 79.70CHF 52.60n/a20
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 66.61
0%
11.99%CHF 80.41CHF 53.07n/a20
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 64.85
0%
16.76%CHF 81.23CHF 37.36n/a20
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 47.84
0%
20.33%CHF 63.39CHF 17.12n/a20
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 47.51
0%
18.37%CHF 56.24CHF 17.87CHF 55.3720
May ’26n/a
CHF 42.90
0%
21.06%CHF 56.41CHF 17.92CHF 60.5320
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 46.83
0%
21.65%CHF 59.96CHF 19.05CHF 49.3020
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 49.59
0%
19.46%CHF 63.20CHF 19.50CHF 51.7320
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 46.16
0%
21.37%CHF 63.75CHF 19.67CHF 63.3120
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 43.73
0%
19.89%CHF 58.00CHF 18.98n/a20
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 43.69
0%
19.27%CHF 56.77CHF 19.16n/a20
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 40.87
0%
24.86%CHF 55.72CHF 18.80n/a19
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 26.20
0%
21.48%CHF 33.85CHF 12.19n/a21
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 25.56
0%
21.79%CHF 34.20CHF 12.31n/a19
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 24.92
0%
25.48%CHF 34.94CHF 9.44n/a19
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 19.59
0%
23.96%CHF 26.92CHF 9.69n/a17
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 19.31
0%
21.20%CHF 24.66CHF 9.87n/a17
CHF 73.39
Fair Value
26.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
21
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/24 09:55
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/24 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Carvana Co. is covered by 45 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Craig KennisonBaird
John BabcockBarclays
Gary PrestopinoBarrington Research Associates, Inc.