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Here's What To Make Of Avolta's (VTX:AVOL) Decelerating Rates Of Return
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Avolta (VTX:AVOL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Avolta:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.071 = CHF705m ÷ (CHF14b - CHF3.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Therefore, Avolta has an ROCE of 7.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 11%.
See our latest analysis for Avolta
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Avolta compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Avolta for free.
So How Is Avolta's ROCE Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Avolta. The company has employed 25% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 7.1%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
In Conclusion...
Long story short, while Avolta has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Since the stock has declined 60% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Avolta (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .
While Avolta may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:AVOL
Avolta
Operates as a travel retailer. The company’s retail brands include general travel retail shops under the Dufry, World Duty Free, Nuance, Hellenic Duty Free, Zurich Duty-Free or Stockholm Duty-Free, Autogrill, and HMSHost brands; Dufry shopping stores; brand boutiques; convenience stores primarily under the Hudson brand; and specialized shops and theme stores.
Solid track record with reasonable growth potential.