When close to half the companies in Switzerland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Avolta AG (VTX:AVOL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 54.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Avolta's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Avolta
How Is Avolta's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Avolta would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.8% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 22% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 30% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Avolta's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Avolta maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Avolta (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Avolta. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:AVOL
High growth potential and slightly overvalued.
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