Stock Analysis

Is Swiss Prime Site (VTX:SPSN) A Risky Investment?

SWX:SPSN
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Swiss Prime Site AG (VTX:SPSN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Swiss Prime Site

What Is Swiss Prime Site's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Swiss Prime Site had CHF5.36b in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:SPSN Debt to Equity History September 21st 2022

How Healthy Is Swiss Prime Site's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Swiss Prime Site had liabilities of CHF868.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CHF6.49b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CHF32.4m as well as receivables valued at CHF88.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CHF7.24b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CHF6.21b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Swiss Prime Site's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 13.7 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 9.5 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Unfortunately, Swiss Prime Site saw its EBIT slide 7.5% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Swiss Prime Site's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Swiss Prime Site produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Swiss Prime Site's net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Swiss Prime Site's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Swiss Prime Site has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.