Stock Analysis

We Wouldn't Rely On Senioresidenz's (BRN:SENIO) Statutory Earnings As A Guide

BRSE:SENIO
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Broadly speaking, profitable businesses are less risky than unprofitable ones. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. This article will consider whether Senioresidenz's (BRN:SENIO) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

While Senioresidenz was able to generate revenue of CHF6.29m in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of CHF3.82m was more important.

View our latest analysis for Senioresidenz

earnings-and-revenue-history
BRSE:SENIO Earnings and Revenue History December 9th 2020

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. In this article we'll look at how Senioresidenz is impacting shareholders by issuing new shares, as well as how unusual items have affected the income line. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Senioresidenz.

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Senioresidenz increased the number of shares on issue by 50% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Senioresidenz's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Senioresidenz's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. The good news is that profit was up 101% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 104% over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Senioresidenz shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Senioresidenz's net profit by CHF538k over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Senioresidenz's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Senioresidenz got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Senioresidenz's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Senioresidenz at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Senioresidenz (2 are a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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