Stock Analysis

We're Not So Sure You Should Rely on Swiss Estates's (BRN:SEAN) Statutory Earnings

BRSE:SEAN
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Swiss Estates (BRN:SEAN).

While Swiss Estates was able to generate revenue of CHF6.20m in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of CHF1.86m was more important. The good news is that the company managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, and also move from loss-making to profitable.

View our latest analysis for Swiss Estates

earnings-and-revenue-history
BRSE:SEAN Earnings and Revenue History December 17th 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. Therefore, today we will consider the nature of Swiss Estates' statutory earnings with reference to its dilution of shareholders and the impact of unusual items. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Swiss Estates.

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Swiss Estates increased the number of shares on issue by 14% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Swiss Estates' EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Swiss Estates' Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Swiss Estates was losing money three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

In the long term, if Swiss Estates' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Swiss Estates' net profit by CHF492k over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Swiss Estates doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Swiss Estates' Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Swiss Estates got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue Swiss Estates' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Swiss Estates at this point in time. For example, Swiss Estates has 5 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Our examination of Swiss Estates has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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