Stock Analysis

Newron Pharmaceuticals S.p.A. (VTX:NWRN) On The Verge Of Breaking Even

SWX:NWRN
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We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Newron Pharmaceuticals S.p.A.'s (VTX:NWRN) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Newron Pharmaceuticals S.p.A., a biopharmaceutical company, focus on the development of novel therapies for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) and pain in Italy and the United States. The CHF69m market-cap company announced a latest loss of €17m on 31 December 2022 for its most recent financial year result. As path to profitability is the topic on Newron Pharmaceuticals' investors mind, we've decided to gauge market sentiment. Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

Check out our latest analysis for Newron Pharmaceuticals

According to the 3 industry analysts covering Newron Pharmaceuticals, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2022, before turning a profit of €4.4m in 2023. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around 12 months from now or less. At what rate will the company have to grow in order to realise the consensus estimates forecasting breakeven in under 12 months? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 56%, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
SWX:NWRN Earnings Per Share Growth June 2nd 2023

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Newron Pharmaceuticals' upcoming projects, though, bear in mind that by and large pharmaceuticals, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we would like to bring into light with Newron Pharmaceuticals is it currently has negative equity on its balance sheet. Accounting methods used to deal with losses accumulated over time can cause this to occur. This is because liabilities are carried forward into the future until it cancels. These losses tend to occur only on paper, however, in other cases it can be forewarning.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Newron Pharmaceuticals which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Newron Pharmaceuticals, take a look at Newron Pharmaceuticals' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of key aspects you should look at:

  1. Valuation: What is Newron Pharmaceuticals worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Newron Pharmaceuticals is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Newron Pharmaceuticals’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.