Netflix, Inc.

SWX:NFLX Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 274.9b

Netflix Valuation

Is NFLX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of NFLX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: NFLX (CHF64.95) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF74.36)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: NFLX is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFLX?

Key metric: As NFLX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NFLX. This is calculated by dividing NFLX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NFLX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.1x
EarningsUS$10.98b
Market CapUS$352.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NFLX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NFLX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.1x
DIS Walt Disney
15.2x2.88%US$201.4b
SPOT Spotify Technology
63.3x24.61%US$103.1b
WBD Warner Bros. Discovery
139.5x-36.79%US$68.3b
UMG Universal Music Group
14.5x-6.58%€37.8b
NFLX Netflix
32.1x15.71%CHF 352.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate NFLX's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NFLX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NFLX 32.1xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NFLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.1x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NFLX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NFLX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NFLX's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NFLX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 64.95
CHF 86.45
+33.11%
14.62%CHF 117.03CHF 61.07n/a40
Jan ’27n/a
CHF 99.95
0%
15.55%CHF 120.79CHF 60.99n/a38
Dec ’26n/a
CHF 108.23
0%
13.12%CHF 128.80CHF 61.99n/a44
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 108.36
0%
12.96%CHF 128.74CHF 61.96n/a44
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 108.28
0%
13.21%CHF 127.52CHF 59.78n/a41
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 108.64
0%
13.54%CHF 129.09CHF 60.51n/a41
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 108.48
0%
13.54%CHF 128.91CHF 60.42n/a41
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 94.09
0%
17.84%CHF 127.97CHF 58.07n/a44
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 93.61
0%
15.11%CHF 124.56CHF 59.24n/a46
May ’26n/a
CHF 90.68
0%
13.05%CHF 124.95CHF 59.42n/a46
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 94.68
0%
13.73%CHF 131.71CHF 61.71n/a42
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 96.76
0%
13.86%CHF 134.88CHF 63.20n/a41
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 96.01
0%
14.17%CHF 134.73CHF 63.13CHF 64.0042
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 76.08
0%
17.59%CHF 99.42CHF 49.71n/a41
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 69.82
0%
16.06%CHF 96.85CHF 48.43n/a41
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 66.01
0%
12.22%CHF 80.25CHF 47.72n/a41
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 59.11
0%
11.39%CHF 76.16CHF 42.31n/a41
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 59.03
0%
11.47%CHF 76.52CHF 42.51n/a39
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 60.94
0%
10.63%CHF 70.72CHF 44.20n/a39
Jul ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 58.70
-26.63%
11.51%CHF 72.24CHF 39.73n/a41
Jun ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 58.73
-26.59%
12.19%CHF 73.08CHF 40.19n/a42
May ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 58.90
-26.37%
12.17%CHF 73.54CHF 40.45n/a43
Apr ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 54.86
-31.42%
12.92%CHF 66.93CHF 38.44n/a41
Mar ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 51.28
-35.90%
12.75%CHF 65.36CHF 29.59n/a42
Feb ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 48.95
-38.81%
12.38%CHF 60.32CHF 28.87n/a42
CHF 87.01
Fair Value
25.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
40
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/02 10:12
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/02 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Netflix, Inc. is covered by 84 analysts. 43 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hannah KleivenArete Research Services LLP
Andrew Charles BealeArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company