Alphabet Valuation

Is GOOGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOOGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOOGL (CHF1200) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF1924.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOOGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOOGL?

Key metric: As GOOGL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GOOGL. This is calculated by dividing GOOGL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GOOGL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.4x
EarningsUS$94.27b
Market CapUS$2.03t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GOOGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GOOGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
META Meta Platforms
25.4x10.9%US$1.4t
700 Tencent Holdings
20.1x11.3%HK$3.7t
BIDU Baidu
10x6.8%US$28.2b
1024 Kuaishou Technology
11.9x17.7%HK$190.9b
GOOGL Alphabet
21.4x10.9%CHF 2.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GOOGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GOOGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Interactive Media and Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GOOGL 21.4xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GOOGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOOGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOOGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GOOGL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GOOGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 1,200.00
CHF 187.47
-84.4%
7.4%CHF 214.62CHF 135.03n/a48
Nov ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 182.08
-84.8%
7.7%CHF 208.94CHF 131.46n/a48
Oct ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 171.34
-85.7%
7.5%CHF 194.63CHF 127.78n/a48
Sep ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 174.31
-85.5%
7.3%CHF 195.84CHF 128.57n/a45
Aug ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 180.82
-84.9%
7.6%CHF 203.82CHF 133.81n/a45
Jul ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 175.70
-85.4%
9.9%CHF 207.70CHF 129.14n/a45
Jun ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 176.79
-85.3%
9.7%CHF 210.37CHF 130.80n/a46
May ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 173.04
-85.6%
10.8%CHF 206.81CHF 131.44n/a46
Apr ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 148.77
-87.6%
6.0%CHF 162.81CHF 129.35n/a45
Mar ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 144.05
-88.0%
5.9%CHF 158.43CHF 124.10n/a46
Feb ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 139.49
-88.4%
6.5%CHF 154.39CHF 120.08n/a44
Jan ’25CHF 1,200.00
CHF 132.41
-89.0%
6.8%CHF 154.14CHF 110.46n/a43
Dec ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 135.64
-88.7%
6.7%CHF 159.07CHF 114.00n/a43
Nov ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 138.34
-88.5%
6.7%CHF 162.28CHF 113.60CHF 1,200.0043
Oct ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 137.84
-88.5%
8.3%CHF 182.40CHF 110.35CHF 1,200.0043
Sep ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 131.83
-89.0%
8.6%CHF 175.66CHF 106.28CHF 1,200.0045
Aug ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 130.09
-89.2%
8.9%CHF 174.42CHF 105.53CHF 1,200.0043
Jul ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 118.68
-90.1%
8.6%CHF 143.48CHF 103.13CHF 1,200.0041
Jun ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 119.87
-90.0%
8.6%CHF 145.74CHF 104.75CHF 1,200.0040
May ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 116.90
-90.3%
8.7%CHF 143.07CHF 93.62CHF 1,200.0043
Apr ’24CHF 1,200.00
CHF 117.70
-90.2%
10.4%CHF 146.25CHF 85.21CHF 1,200.0044
Mar ’24CHF 1,010.00
CHF 118.57
-88.3%
11.2%CHF 147.80CHF 86.11CHF 1,200.0042
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 114.51
0%
11.0%CHF 145.40CHF 84.51CHF 1,200.0041
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 118.59
0%
13.1%CHF 173.19CHF 86.60CHF 1,200.0040
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 122.94
0%
13.3%CHF 177.45CHF 88.73CHF 1,200.0040
Nov ’23n/a
CHF 130.43
0%
12.9%CHF 184.45CHF 97.18CHF 1,200.0040

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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