With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.6x in the Packaging industry in Switzerland, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Aluflexpack AG's (VTX:AFP) P/S ratio of 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Aluflexpack
How Aluflexpack Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Aluflexpack has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Aluflexpack.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Aluflexpack?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aluflexpack would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 73% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.0% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 2.1% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Aluflexpack's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Aluflexpack currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Aluflexpack you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:AFP
Good value with reasonable growth potential.