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Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Helvetia Holding AG (VTX:HELN)
When close to half the companies in Switzerland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 21x, you may consider Helvetia Holding AG (VTX:HELN) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Helvetia Holding hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Helvetia Holding
Is There Enough Growth For Helvetia Holding?
Helvetia Holding's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 35% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 30% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Helvetia Holding is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Helvetia Holding's P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Helvetia Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Helvetia Holding (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Helvetia Holding. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Helvetia Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:HELN
Helvetia Holding
Engages in life and non-life insurance, and reinsurance business in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Spain, Italy, France, and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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