American International Group, Inc.

SWX:AIG Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 37.5b

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American International Group Valuation

Is AIG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AIG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AIG (CHF52.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF122)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AIG?

Key metric: As AIG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AIG. This is calculated by dividing AIG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AIG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.6x
EarningsUS$4.84b
Market CapUS$42.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AIG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AIG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.8x
ZURN Zurich Insurance Group
17.7x10.2%CHF 78.5b
HELN Helvetia Holding
29.7x11.4%CHF 8.1b
BALN Baloise Holding
29.9x13.1%CHF 7.6b
VAHN Vaudoise Assurances Holding
10.1xn/aCHF 1.4b
AIG American International Group
8.6x3.1%CHF 42.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AIG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the peer average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AIG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIG 8.6xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies12PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AIG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AIG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AIG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.6x
Fair PE Ratio11.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AIG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AIG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
May ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 61.78
0%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Sep ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 61.78
+18.2%
8.9%CHF 71.55CHF 54.77n/a15
Aug ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 59.30
+13.4%
10.2%CHF 69.29CHF 49.37n/a15
Jul ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 61.52
+17.7%
10.3%CHF 70.95CHF 51.19n/a14
Jun ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 62.80
+20.1%
9.3%CHF 71.58CHF 52.56n/a13
May ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 60.88
+16.5%
10.3%CHF 70.93CHF 49.38n/a16
Apr ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 64.08
+22.6%
10.0%CHF 78.94CHF 55.08n/a16
Mar ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 66.51
+27.2%
9.3%CHF 80.91CHF 56.45n/a16
Feb ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 64.38
+23.2%
8.8%CHF 78.75CHF 54.94n/a16
Jan ’24CHF 52.28
CHF 62.54
+19.6%
11.1%CHF 78.95CHF 53.87n/a15

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2023/09/05 03:48
End of Day Share Price 2023/09/05 00:00
Earnings2023/06/30
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

American International Group, Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Jay GelbBarclays