Nestlé Valuation

Is NESNE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NESNE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NESNE (CHF76.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF168.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NESNE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NESNE?

Key metric: As NESNE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NESNE. This is calculated by dividing NESNE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NESNE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.6x
EarningsCHF 11.20b
Market CapCHF 201.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NESNE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NESNE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.5x
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
33.5x6.2%CHF 23.0b
BARN Barry Callebaut
38x24.2%CHF 7.3b
EMMN Emmi
21.5x13.0%CHF 4.3b
BELL Bell Food Group
12.9x-0.7%CHF 1.7b
NESNE Nestlé
17.6x4.9%CHF 201.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NESNE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (26.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NESNE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NESNE 17.6xIndustry Avg. 13.5xNo. of Companies18PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NESNE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NESNE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NESNE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio25.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NESNE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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