Archer-Daniels-Midland Valuation
Is ADM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ADM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ADM (CHF39.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF92.43)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ADM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADM?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is ADM's n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$28.32b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.4x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10x |
PEG Ratio | -2.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ADM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 27x | ||
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli | 37x | 6.4% | CHF 25.4b |
BARN Barry Callebaut | 26x | 25.0% | CHF 7.5b |
EMMN Emmi | 24.4x | 15.3% | CHF 4.7b |
NESN Nestlé | 20.5x | 6.5% | CHF 230.0b |
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland | 10.9x | -3.7% | CHF 28.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ADM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the European Food industry average (15x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ADM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 10.9x |
Fair PE Ratio | 16.6x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | CHF 39.46 | CHF 53.64 +35.9% | 4.5% | CHF 57.95 | CHF 49.30 | n/a | 12 |
Aug ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 54.27 +37.5% | 4.7% | CHF 58.53 | CHF 49.80 | n/a | 11 |
Jul ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 55.73 +41.2% | 5.1% | CHF 61.62 | CHF 50.90 | n/a | 11 |
Jun ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 57.43 +45.5% | 6.5% | CHF 67.36 | CHF 51.88 | n/a | 15 |
May ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 58.61 +48.5% | 7.5% | CHF 68.02 | CHF 52.39 | n/a | 16 |
Apr ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 57.85 +46.6% | 9.5% | CHF 67.35 | CHF 51.19 | n/a | 14 |
Mar ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 58.07 +47.2% | 17.9% | CHF 84.48 | CHF 47.17 | n/a | 15 |
Feb ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 58.07 +47.2% | 17.9% | CHF 84.48 | CHF 47.17 | n/a | 15 |
Jan ’25 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 77.54 +96.5% | 14.1% | CHF 100.20 | CHF 60.47 | n/a | 15 |
Dec ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 82.22 +108.4% | 14.7% | CHF 104.61 | CHF 63.13 | n/a | 15 |
Nov ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 82.19 +108.3% | 14.5% | CHF 104.58 | CHF 63.11 | n/a | 15 |
Oct ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 89.24 +126.1% | 12.7% | CHF 107.75 | CHF 64.46 | n/a | 15 |
Sep ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 85.14 +115.8% | 12.7% | CHF 102.80 | CHF 61.50 | n/a | 15 |
Aug ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 84.57 +114.3% | 12.8% | CHF 102.04 | CHF 61.05 | CHF 39.46 | 15 |
Jul ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 83.93 +112.7% | 14.2% | CHF 104.47 | CHF 62.51 | CHF 39.46 | 15 |
Jun ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 85.11 +115.7% | 14.8% | CHF 106.02 | CHF 63.43 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
May ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 85.87 +117.6% | 13.7% | CHF 104.62 | CHF 62.59 | CHF 39.46 | 15 |
Apr ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 92.00 +133.1% | 12.7% | CHF 108.26 | CHF 64.77 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
Mar ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 92.00 +133.1% | 12.7% | CHF 108.26 | CHF 64.77 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
Feb ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 92.00 +133.1% | 12.7% | CHF 108.26 | CHF 64.77 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
Jan ’24 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 92.11 +133.4% | 12.2% | CHF 108.78 | CHF 65.08 | CHF 39.46 | 15 |
Dec ’23 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 97.11 +146.1% | 12.0% | CHF 116.03 | CHF 69.42 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
Nov ’23 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 97.11 +146.1% | 12.0% | CHF 116.03 | CHF 69.42 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
Oct ’23 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 90.43 +129.2% | 13.1% | CHF 110.21 | CHF 63.11 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
Sep ’23 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 90.43 +129.2% | 13.1% | CHF 110.21 | CHF 63.11 | CHF 39.46 | 14 |
Aug ’23 | CHF 39.46 | CHF 90.52 +129.4% | 12.3% | CHF 106.45 | CHF 64.26 | CHF 39.46 | 13 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.