Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

BRSE:ADM Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 24.1b

Archer-Daniels-Midland Valuation

Is ADM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADM (CHF39.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF92.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ADM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10x
PEG Ratio-2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27x
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
37x6.4%CHF 25.4b
BARN Barry Callebaut
26x25.0%CHF 7.5b
EMMN Emmi
24.4x15.3%CHF 4.7b
NESN Nestlé
20.5x6.5%CHF 230.0b
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland
10.9x-3.7%CHF 28.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the European Food industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 39.46
CHF 53.64
+35.9%
4.5%CHF 57.95CHF 49.30n/a12
Aug ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 54.27
+37.5%
4.7%CHF 58.53CHF 49.80n/a11
Jul ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 55.73
+41.2%
5.1%CHF 61.62CHF 50.90n/a11
Jun ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 57.43
+45.5%
6.5%CHF 67.36CHF 51.88n/a15
May ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 58.61
+48.5%
7.5%CHF 68.02CHF 52.39n/a16
Apr ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 57.85
+46.6%
9.5%CHF 67.35CHF 51.19n/a14
Mar ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 58.07
+47.2%
17.9%CHF 84.48CHF 47.17n/a15
Feb ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 58.07
+47.2%
17.9%CHF 84.48CHF 47.17n/a15
Jan ’25CHF 39.46
CHF 77.54
+96.5%
14.1%CHF 100.20CHF 60.47n/a15
Dec ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 82.22
+108.4%
14.7%CHF 104.61CHF 63.13n/a15
Nov ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 82.19
+108.3%
14.5%CHF 104.58CHF 63.11n/a15
Oct ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 89.24
+126.1%
12.7%CHF 107.75CHF 64.46n/a15
Sep ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 85.14
+115.8%
12.7%CHF 102.80CHF 61.50n/a15
Aug ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 84.57
+114.3%
12.8%CHF 102.04CHF 61.05CHF 39.4615
Jul ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 83.93
+112.7%
14.2%CHF 104.47CHF 62.51CHF 39.4615
Jun ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 85.11
+115.7%
14.8%CHF 106.02CHF 63.43CHF 39.4614
May ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 85.87
+117.6%
13.7%CHF 104.62CHF 62.59CHF 39.4615
Apr ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 92.00
+133.1%
12.7%CHF 108.26CHF 64.77CHF 39.4614
Mar ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 92.00
+133.1%
12.7%CHF 108.26CHF 64.77CHF 39.4614
Feb ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 92.00
+133.1%
12.7%CHF 108.26CHF 64.77CHF 39.4614
Jan ’24CHF 39.46
CHF 92.11
+133.4%
12.2%CHF 108.78CHF 65.08CHF 39.4615
Dec ’23CHF 39.46
CHF 97.11
+146.1%
12.0%CHF 116.03CHF 69.42CHF 39.4614
Nov ’23CHF 39.46
CHF 97.11
+146.1%
12.0%CHF 116.03CHF 69.42CHF 39.4614
Oct ’23CHF 39.46
CHF 90.43
+129.2%
13.1%CHF 110.21CHF 63.11CHF 39.4614
Sep ’23CHF 39.46
CHF 90.43
+129.2%
13.1%CHF 110.21CHF 63.11CHF 39.4614
Aug ’23CHF 39.46
CHF 90.52
+129.4%
12.3%CHF 106.45CHF 64.26CHF 39.4613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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