Repsol Valuation

Is REP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of REP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: REP (CHF11.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF17.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: REP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for REP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

REP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.2x
PEG Ratio-1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does REP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for REP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.2x
GALP Galp Energia SGPS
9.5x-10.5%€13.0b
OMV OMV
8.2x6.4%€12.6b
SNGS Surgutneftegas
2.3xn/a₽928.7b
ECOPETROL Ecopetrol
4.6x-4.5%Col$77.5t
REP Repsol
4.2x-3.5%CHF 13.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: REP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.2x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does REP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: REP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.2x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is REP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

REP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate REP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst REP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 11.08
CHF 14.62
+32.0%
16.0%CHF 20.65CHF 10.60n/a25
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 15.85
0%
12.5%CHF 20.67CHF 11.28n/a25
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 16.51
0%
11.7%CHF 21.10CHF 11.51n/a25
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 17.00
0%
12.7%CHF 24.05CHF 11.54n/a25
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 17.42
0%
13.0%CHF 24.77CHF 11.89n/a25
May ’25n/a
CHF 17.19
0%
13.4%CHF 24.44CHF 11.73n/a25
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 16.86
0%
13.8%CHF 24.29CHF 11.66n/a25
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 16.50
0%
13.6%CHF 23.93CHF 11.49n/a26
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 15.87
0%
15.1%CHF 23.50CHF 11.28n/a26
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 16.49
0%
14.8%CHF 23.70CHF 11.38n/a25
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 16.99
0%
14.6%CHF 24.11CHF 11.57n/a25
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 17.10
0%
14.8%CHF 24.07CHF 11.55n/a25
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 16.61
0%
12.9%CHF 21.25CHF 11.59CHF 11.0826
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 16.14
0%
12.7%CHF 19.17CHF 11.50n/a26
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 16.20
0%
12.0%CHF 19.17CHF 12.46n/a27
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 16.62
0%
10.5%CHF 19.14CHF 13.67n/a27
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 16.68
0%
10.5%CHF 19.47CHF 13.63n/a28
May ’24n/a
CHF 17.16
0%
9.1%CHF 19.60CHF 13.72n/a28
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 17.95
0%
8.7%CHF 20.93CHF 14.95n/a27
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 18.05
0%
8.7%CHF 21.04CHF 15.03n/a26
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 17.88
0%
9.0%CHF 20.96CHF 14.97n/a26
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 17.57
0%
9.1%CHF 19.82CHF 13.67n/a26
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 17.32
0%
8.6%CHF 19.73CHF 13.61n/a26
Nov ’23n/a
CHF 17.04
0%
9.2%CHF 19.79CHF 13.65n/a26
Oct ’23n/a
CHF 16.77
0%
9.7%CHF 20.09CHF 13.40n/a26

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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