Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Julius Baer Group Ltd. (VTX:BAER)?

SWX:BAER
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Julius Baer Group Ltd. (VTX:BAER), which is in the capital markets business, and is based in Switzerland, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SWX, rising to highs of CHF49.67 and falling to the lows of CHF39.11. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Julius Baer Group's current trading price of CHF40.07 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Julius Baer Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Julius Baer Group

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Is Julius Baer Group still cheap?

Julius Baer Group appears to be overvalued by 43.42% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at CHF40.07 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of CHF27.94. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Julius Baer Group’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Julius Baer Group generate?

SWX:BAER Past and Future Earnings, June 10th 2019
SWX:BAER Past and Future Earnings, June 10th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Julius Baer Group’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? BAER’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe BAER should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on BAER for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for BAER, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Julius Baer Group. You can find everything you need to know about Julius Baer Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Julius Baer Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.