Deutsche Börse Valuation

Is DB1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DB1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DB1 (CHF150) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF171.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DB1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DB1?

Key metric: As DB1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DB1. This is calculated by dividing DB1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DB1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.4x
Earnings€1.85b
Market Cap€39.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DB1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DB1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29x
PGHN Partners Group Holding
34.3x14.2%CHF 33.0b
UBSG UBS Group
22.4x25.6%CHF 90.2b
BAER Julius Bär Gruppe
31.5x22.6%CHF 11.5b
VZN VZ Holding
27.7x6.3%CHF 5.6b
DB1 Deutsche Börse
21.4x4.6%CHF 39.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DB1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (28.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DB1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Capital Markets Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DB1 21.4xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies39PE01224364860+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DB1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the European Capital Markets industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DB1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DB1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DB1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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