Stock Analysis

Investors in Orascom Development Holding (VTX:ODHN) from five years ago are still down 69%, even after 18% gain this past week

SWX:ODHN
Source: Shutterstock

Orascom Development Holding AG (VTX:ODHN) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 18% in the last week. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. The share price has failed to impress anyone , down a sizable 69% during that time. Some might say the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. However, in the best case scenario (far from fait accompli), this improved performance might be sustained.

The recent uptick of 18% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Orascom Development Holding

Because Orascom Development Holding made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over five years, Orascom Development Holding grew its revenue at 13% per year. That's a pretty good rate for a long time period. The share price, meanwhile, has fallen 11% compounded, over five years. It seems probably that the business has failed to live up to initial expectations. That could lead to an opportunity if the company is going to become profitable sooner rather than later.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:ODHN Earnings and Revenue Growth August 15th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Orascom Development Holding stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

Orascom Development Holding shareholders are down 20% for the year, but the market itself is up 10%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 11% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Orascom Development Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

We will like Orascom Development Holding better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swiss exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.