Target Corporation

SWX:TGT Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 35.5b

Target Valuation

Is TGT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TGT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TGT (CHF77.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF124.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TGT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TGT?

Key metric: As TGT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TGT. This is calculated by dividing TGT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TGT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
EarningsUS$3.76b
Market CapUS$44.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TGT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TGT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.8x
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
19.1x8.60%Mex$964.0b
DG Dollar General
23.5x9.88%US$30.1b
DLTR Dollar Tree
22.9x7.87%US$26.1b
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
21.8x6.51%US$12.2b
TGT Target
11.9x0.93%CHF 44.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TGT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (21.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TGT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TGT 11.9xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TGT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TGT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TGT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TGT's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TGT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 80.02
CHF 77.01
-3.76%
14.93%CHF 103.24CHF 50.03n/a33
Dec ’26CHF 68.46
CHF 77.68
+13.47%
15.16%CHF 104.63CHF 50.70n/a33
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 81.31
0%
12.56%CHF 104.28CHF 64.17n/a33
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 81.48
0%
12.45%CHF 103.48CHF 63.68n/a33
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 82.92
0%
11.80%CHF 104.02CHF 66.41n/a32
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 83.36
0%
13.56%CHF 109.66CHF 64.98n/a32
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 82.31
0%
13.58%CHF 107.97CHF 63.98n/a33
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 84.95
0%
13.39%CHF 111.07CHF 65.82n/a33
May ’26n/a
CHF 107.15
0%
14.86%CHF 132.73CHF 76.32n/a32
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 119.93
0%
10.28%CHF 141.42CHF 88.39n/a32
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 129.26
0%
10.57%CHF 153.48CHF 92.99n/a32
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 129.71
0%
10.69%CHF 153.71CHF 93.13n/a32
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 125.30
0%
11.62%CHF 150.38CHF 91.11n/a32
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 124.63
0%
11.59%CHF 149.68CHF 90.69CHF 68.4632
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 150.91
0%
10.23%CHF 173.51CHF 103.24n/a32
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 148.43
0%
10.74%CHF 177.07CHF 100.34n/a32
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 148.68
0%
10.82%CHF 176.89CHF 100.24n/a31
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 151.86
0%
10.91%CHF 183.46CHF 101.34n/a31
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 154.30
0%
11.01%CHF 185.71CHF 102.58n/a30
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 160.95
0%
9.14%CHF 191.53CHF 124.04n/a29
May ’25n/a
CHF 168.64
0%
9.59%CHF 200.71CHF 124.07n/a30
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 166.75
0%
9.07%CHF 189.95CHF 123.01n/a30
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 139.28
0%
8.94%CHF 158.98CHF 116.59n/a30
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 131.68
0%
10.19%CHF 155.10CHF 107.71n/a30
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 130.37
0%
11.03%CHF 156.12CHF 100.61n/a31
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 131.17
0%
10.59%CHF 158.47CHF 102.13n/a31
CHF 78.33
Fair Value
2.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
33
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/18 00:00
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/18 00:00
Earnings2025/11/01
Annual Earnings2025/02/01

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Target Corporation is covered by 61 analysts. 33 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Peter BenedictBaird
Seth SigmanBarclays