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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From DocMorris AG's (VTX:DOCM) 28% Share Price Climb
DocMorris AG (VTX:DOCM) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 82% share price decline over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think DocMorris' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Switzerland's Consumer Retailing industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for DocMorris
How DocMorris Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for DocMorris as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on DocMorris.How Is DocMorris' Revenue Growth Trending?
DocMorris' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.9%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 32% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.6% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that DocMorris' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What Does DocMorris' P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now DocMorris' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that DocMorris currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for DocMorris (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:DOCM
DocMorris
Operates as an online pharmacy, telemedicine, and healthcare company in Switzerland and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.
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