Costco Wholesale Corporation

BRSE:CTO Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 396.1b

Costco Wholesale Valuation

Is CTO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CHF 1.03k
Fair Value
14.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
32
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: CTO (CHF881.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF1032.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CTO is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTO?

Key metric: As CTO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CTO. This is calculated by dividing CTO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CTO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio57.4x
EarningsUS$7.58b
Market CapUS$434.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CTO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CTO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
WMT Walmart
40.1x9.3%US$792.5b
TGT Target
14.5x5.0%US$64.4b
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
17.5x9.5%Mex$954.5b
DG Dollar General
11.7x7.5%US$15.9b
CTO Costco Wholesale
57.4x8.3%CHF 435.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.4x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CTO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CTO 57.4xIndustry Avg. 15.1xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.4x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio57.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CTO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 881.64
CHF 927.43
+5.2%
11.8%CHF 1,070.10CHF 510.00n/a32
Jan ’26CHF 848.78
CHF 927.50
+9.3%
11.1%CHF 1,060.12CHF 505.25n/a32
Dec ’25CHF 857.01
CHF 840.48
-1.9%
10.9%CHF 961.30CHF 482.88n/a32
Nov ’25CHF 756.62
CHF 808.84
+6.9%
10.4%CHF 922.79CHF 467.89n/a32
Oct ’25CHF 739.54
CHF 782.76
+5.8%
10.6%CHF 888.62CHF 431.61n/a31
Sep ’25CHF 750.64
CHF 762.44
+1.6%
11.2%CHF 908.10CHF 441.08n/a30
Aug ’25CHF 720.65
CHF 790.58
+9.7%
11.3%CHF 940.52CHF 456.82n/a30
Jul ’25CHF 772.51
CHF 762.35
-1.3%
10.4%CHF 880.47CHF 460.56n/a30
Jun ’25CHF 738.77
CHF 743.31
+0.6%
9.9%CHF 848.10CHF 451.12n/a30
May ’25n/a
CHF 707.83
0%
9.4%CHF 793.15CHF 455.84n/a31
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 688.04
0%
12.4%CHF 818.25CHF 452.07n/a32
Mar ’25CHF 660.99
CHF 621.64
-6.0%
11.5%CHF 724.86CHF 421.74n/a33
Feb ’25CHF 593.43
CHF 577.49
-2.7%
10.3%CHF 673.83CHF 413.61CHF 881.6433
Jan ’25CHF 561.65
CHF 556.62
-0.9%
9.9%CHF 628.85CHF 405.17CHF 848.7834
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 527.70
0%
7.9%CHF 595.41CHF 402.78CHF 857.0133
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 528.48
0%
7.8%CHF 606.20CHF 410.08CHF 756.6233
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 536.89
0%
8.3%CHF 622.35CHF 411.85CHF 739.5433
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 502.68
0%
8.7%CHF 575.06CHF 422.24CHF 750.6432
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 482.66
0%
7.6%CHF 553.79CHF 414.25CHF 720.6532
Jul ’24CHF 475.60
CHF 492.18
+3.5%
7.0%CHF 569.54CHF 426.03CHF 772.5132
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 494.69
0%
6.9%CHF 575.16CHF 430.24CHF 738.7731
May ’24n/a
CHF 491.44
0%
7.2%CHF 569.09CHF 425.70n/a31
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 499.87
0%
7.3%CHF 580.42CHF 434.17n/a32
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 515.47
0%
8.0%CHF 594.33CHF 441.77CHF 660.9931
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 501.11
0%
8.3%CHF 577.05CHF 408.93CHF 593.4330
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 32 Analysts
CHF 916.25
Fair Value
3.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
32
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/01 04:04
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/30 00:00
Earnings2024/11/24
Annual Earnings2024/09/01

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Costco Wholesale Corporation is covered by 68 analysts. 33 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Peter BenedictBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research