Today we're going to take a look at the well-established The Swatch Group AG (VTX:UHR). The company's stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SWX over the last few months, increasing to CHF244 at one point, and dropping to the lows of CHF212. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Swatch Group's current trading price of CHF213 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Swatch Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Swatch Group
What Is Swatch Group Worth?
Good news, investors! Swatch Group is still a bargain right now. Our valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is CHF293.61, but it is currently trading at CHF213 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. Swatch Group’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.
Can we expect growth from Swatch Group?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 11% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Swatch Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Since UHR is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With a positive outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as financial health to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on UHR for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its prosperous future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy UHR. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to make a well-informed buy.
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Swatch Group at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Swatch Group.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:UHR
Swatch Group
Designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.