Stock Analysis

Should You Investigate Forbo Holding AG (VTX:FORN) At CHF1,830?

SWX:FORN
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While Forbo Holding AG (VTX:FORN) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SWX over the last few months, increasing to CHF2,005 at one point, and dropping to the lows of CHF1,740. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Forbo Holding's current trading price of CHF1,830 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Forbo Holding’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Forbo Holding

Is Forbo Holding still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Forbo Holding seems to be fairly priced at around 10% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Forbo Holding today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth CHF2040.32, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. In addition to this, Forbo Holding has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

What kind of growth will Forbo Holding generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:FORN Earnings and Revenue Growth November 4th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 3.5% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Forbo Holding, at least in the short term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in FORN’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on FORN, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for Forbo Holding from their most recent forecasts. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

If you are no longer interested in Forbo Holding, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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