Stock Analysis

Should You Investigate Forbo Holding AG (VTX:FORN) At CHF1,544?

SWX:FORN
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Forbo Holding AG (VTX:FORN), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SWX. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Forbo Holding’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Forbo Holding

What's the opportunity in Forbo Holding?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 0.2% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Forbo Holding today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is CHF1547.57, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. What's more, Forbo Holding’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.

What does the future of Forbo Holding look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:FORN Earnings and Revenue Growth January 29th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Forbo Holding's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 21%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? FORN’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on FORN, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Diving deeper into the forecasts for Forbo Holding mentioned earlier will help you understand how analysts view the stock going forward. At Simply Wall St, we have the analysts estimates which you can view by clicking here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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