Stock Analysis

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Adecco Group AG (VTX:ADEN)

SWX:ADEN
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Adecco Group AG's (VTX:ADEN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Switzerland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 12x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Adecco Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Adecco Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:ADEN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 30th 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Adecco Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Adecco Group?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Adecco Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 3,361% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 32% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.1% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Adecco Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Adecco Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Adecco Group has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.