Stock Analysis

Here's Why dormakaba Holding (VTX:DOKA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

SWX:DOKA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies dormakaba Holding AG (VTX:DOKA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for dormakaba Holding

How Much Debt Does dormakaba Holding Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 dormakaba Holding had CHF857.0m of debt, an increase on CHF806.5m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CHF120.3m in cash leading to net debt of about CHF736.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:DOKA Debt to Equity History March 29th 2023

How Strong Is dormakaba Holding's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that dormakaba Holding had liabilities of CHF854.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CHF878.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CHF120.3m and CHF479.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CHF1.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CHF1.54b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on dormakaba Holding's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.4, dormakaba Holding uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.7 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Shareholders should be aware that dormakaba Holding's EBIT was down 41% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if dormakaba Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, dormakaba Holding produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

dormakaba Holding's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. In particular, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was re-invigorating. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think dormakaba Holding's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for dormakaba Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.