Stock Analysis

Is Bystronic (VTX:BYS) A Risky Investment?

SWX:BYS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Bystronic AG (VTX:BYS) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Bystronic

What Is Bystronic's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Bystronic had CHF7.20m of debt, up from CHF6.80m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CHF338.4m in cash, leading to a CHF331.2m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:BYS Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2022

How Strong Is Bystronic's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Bystronic had liabilities of CHF412.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CHF48.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CHF338.4m as well as receivables valued at CHF185.7m due within 12 months. So it can boast CHF63.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Bystronic could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Bystronic has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

On the other hand, Bystronic saw its EBIT drop by 6.8% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bystronic's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Bystronic may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Bystronic recorded free cash flow of 39% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Bystronic has net cash of CHF331.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Bystronic's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Bystronic you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bystronic is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.