Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Bystronic AG (VTX:BYS) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Bystronic's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Bystronic had CHF7.20m of debt, an increase on CHF6.80m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CHF338.4m in cash, leading to a CHF331.2m net cash position.
How Strong Is Bystronic's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bystronic had liabilities of CHF412.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CHF48.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CHF338.4m and CHF185.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CHF63.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Bystronic has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Bystronic has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
On the other hand, Bystronic saw its EBIT drop by 6.8% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Bystronic can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Bystronic has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Bystronic's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Bystronic has net cash of CHF331.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Bystronic's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Bystronic you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:BYS
Bystronic
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of sheet metal processing solutions for cutting, bending, and automation worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.