Traton SE

SWX:8TRA Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 14.9b

Traton Valuation

Is 8TRA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 8TRA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 8TRA (CHF29) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF44.11)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 8TRA is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8TRA?

Key metric: As 8TRA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8TRA. This is calculated by dividing 8TRA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8TRA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
Earnings€1.78b
Market Cap€16.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8TRA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8TRA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.1x
BUCN Bucher Industries
16.4x-5.07%CHF 3.7b
SRAIL Stadler Rail
62.6x52.20%CHF 2.0b
VACN VAT Group
66.9x16.26%CHF 14.9b
SCHN Schindler Holding
30.5x7.15%CHF 31.1b
8TRA Traton
9.1x18.61%CHF 16.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate 8TRA's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8TRA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8TRA 9.1xIndustry Avg. 21.7xNo. of Companies32PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8TRA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8TRA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8TRA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8TRA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8TRA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 29.00
CHF 29.54
+1.85%
18.94%CHF 45.05CHF 21.14n/a16
Jan ’27n/a
CHF 30.73
0%
18.12%CHF 45.92CHF 21.56n/a15
Dec ’26n/a
CHF 30.59
0%
18.51%CHF 45.69CHF 21.45n/a15
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 30.85
0%
19.67%CHF 45.45CHF 21.33n/a14
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 31.54
0%
19.30%CHF 46.76CHF 21.51n/a14
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 31.58
0%
18.82%CHF 46.84CHF 21.55n/a15
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 31.35
0%
19.08%CHF 46.61CHF 21.44n/a15
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 31.84
0%
17.70%CHF 46.71CHF 21.49n/a16
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 32.27
0%
17.35%CHF 46.70CHF 21.48n/a15
May ’26n/a
CHF 32.45
0%
17.92%CHF 46.89CHF 21.57n/a15
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 34.92
0%
15.69%CHF 48.80CHF 27.75n/a15
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 34.35
0%
17.91%CHF 48.69CHF 27.15n/a15
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 34.64
0%
17.91%CHF 49.10CHF 27.38n/a15
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 35.35
0%
16.12%CHF 49.61CHF 28.08n/a15
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 36.00
0%
19.19%CHF 51.26CHF 27.96n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 35.90
0%
20.60%CHF 51.89CHF 26.89n/a15
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 33.95
0%
24.00%CHF 51.52CHF 19.67n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 34.58
0%
24.15%CHF 52.03CHF 20.81n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 35.43
0%
23.17%CHF 52.76CHF 21.10n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 35.29
0%
22.37%CHF 52.93CHF 21.17n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 36.06
0%
22.11%CHF 53.81CHF 21.52n/a15
May ’25n/a
CHF 34.47
0%
25.34%CHF 53.69CHF 20.50n/a16
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 31.14
0%
29.07%CHF 48.58CHF 19.24n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 25.62
0%
21.69%CHF 38.29CHF 18.95n/a14
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 24.76
0%
22.13%CHF 37.84CHF 18.73n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 24.60
0%
22.12%CHF 37.88CHF 18.75n/a15
CHF 28.7
Fair Value
1.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/29 14:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/29 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Traton SE is covered by 29 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Erwann DagorneBarclays
Kai MuellerBarclays
Harry MartinBernstein