PACCAR Inc

BRSE:PAE Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 51.8b

PACCAR Valuation

Is PAE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of PAE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: PAE (CHF97.92) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF153.14)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: PAE is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PAE?

Key metric: As PAE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PAE. This is calculated by dividing PAE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PAE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsUS$2.48b
Market CapUS$64.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PAE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PAE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.1x
BUCN Bucher Industries
13.5x-2.85%CHF 3.2b
SRAIL Stadler Rail
26.2x28.00%CHF 2.3b
SCHN Schindler Holding
27x6.86%CHF 27.9b
VACN VAT Group
93.7x19.81%CHF 20.1b
PAE PACCAR
25.7x16.26%CHF 64.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PAE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (40.1x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PAE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PAE 25.7xIndustry Avg. 21.2xNo. of Companies30PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PAE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (21.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PAE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PAE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PAE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PAE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 97.92
CHF 101.96
+4.12%
6.89%CHF 112.95CHF 87.94n/a16
Jun ’27n/a
CHF 99.21
0%
6.96%CHF 110.13CHF 85.74n/a16
May ’27n/a
CHF 99.89
0%
8.24%CHF 117.25CHF 85.20n/a17
Apr ’27n/a
CHF 101.61
0%
9.74%CHF 119.94CHF 87.15n/a17
Mar ’27n/a
CHF 96.72
0%
11.81%CHF 116.27CHF 71.31n/a17
Feb ’27n/a
CHF 94.11
0%
11.25%CHF 115.95CHF 71.12n/a17
Jan ’27n/a
CHF 88.46
0%
10.75%CHF 105.79CHF 73.18n/a17
Dec ’26n/a
CHF 86.52
0%
10.42%CHF 101.43CHF 72.45n/a17
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 84.99
0%
10.99%CHF 100.75CHF 71.40n/a15
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 82.89
0%
12.87%CHF 104.41CHF 68.54n/a16
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 83.66
0%
13.01%CHF 105.69CHF 69.39n/a16
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 84.03
0%
12.99%CHF 105.22CHF 69.08n/a17
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 80.55
0%
13.24%CHF 102.22CHF 64.18n/a19
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 83.65
0%
13.65%CHF 106.70CHF 67.00n/a19
May ’26n/a
CHF 84.75
0%
13.43%CHF 107.02CHF 64.71n/a18
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 98.75
0%
11.00%CHF 118.44CHF 81.32n/a18
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 102.74
0%
10.82%CHF 119.60CHF 83.01n/a18
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 104.99
0%
10.77%CHF 122.04CHF 84.70n/a18
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 103.66
0%
10.90%CHF 120.42CHF 83.21n/a18
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 100.65
0%
10.42%CHF 113.91CHF 78.77n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 96.05
0%
10.31%CHF 109.70CHF 76.61n/a18
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 92.36
0%
11.48%CHF 117.80CHF 74.58n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 93.26
0%
11.75%CHF 117.84CHF 74.60n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 99.73
0%
9.99%CHF 123.18CHF 77.98n/a19
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 108.13
0%
11.04%CHF 131.90CHF 78.96n/a20
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 109.17
0%
12.20%CHF 134.29CHF 80.39n/a20
CHF 102.54
Fair Value
4.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/26 07:18
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/26 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

PACCAR Inc is covered by 41 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
David LeikerBaird
Andrew KaplowitzBarclays