DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft

BRSE:DEZ Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 618.6m

DEUTZ Valuation

Is DEZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DEZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DEZ (CHF9.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF34.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DEZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DEZ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DEZ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.7x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DEZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DEZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.3x
SRAIL Stadler Rail
22.8x25.0%CHF 2.8b
BUCN Bucher Industries
12.2x-1.3%CHF 3.7b
RIEN Rieter Holding
7.3x13.1%CHF 455.5m
KOMN Komax Holding
118.8x46.7%CHF 676.5m
DEZ DEUTZ
8.4x24.0%CHF 658.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DEZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (40.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DEZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DEZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DEZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DEZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DEZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DEZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 9.79
CHF 7.65
-21.9%
20.5%CHF 9.82CHF 5.19n/a5
Aug ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 7.88
-19.5%
22.7%CHF 9.90CHF 5.18n/a5
Jul ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 8.51
-13.0%
19.4%CHF 10.67CHF 6.30n/a5
Jun ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 8.00
-18.3%
23.4%CHF 10.40CHF 5.30n/a6
May ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 8.00
-18.3%
23.4%CHF 10.40CHF 5.30n/a6
Apr ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 7.66
-21.7%
31.1%CHF 10.33CHF 4.68n/a5
Mar ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 6.97
-28.8%
29.3%CHF 10.12CHF 4.58n/a5
Feb ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 6.79
-30.6%
27.2%CHF 9.46CHF 4.54n/a5
Jan ’25CHF 9.79
CHF 6.04
-38.3%
17.9%CHF 7.62CHF 4.57n/a5
Dec ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 6.04
-38.3%
17.9%CHF 7.62CHF 4.57n/a5
Nov ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 6.35
-35.1%
21.9%CHF 8.20CHF 4.58n/a5
Oct ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 6.35
-35.1%
21.9%CHF 8.20CHF 4.58n/a5
Sep ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 6.61
-32.5%
17.5%CHF 8.23CHF 5.17CHF 9.795
Aug ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 7.19
-26.5%
14.9%CHF 8.65CHF 5.77CHF 9.795
Jul ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 7.44
-24.0%
12.2%CHF 8.76CHF 6.23CHF 9.795
Jun ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 7.44
-24.0%
12.2%CHF 8.76CHF 6.23CHF 9.795
May ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 7.34
-25.0%
11.3%CHF 8.58CHF 6.28CHF 9.795
Apr ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 7.34
-25.0%
11.3%CHF 8.58CHF 6.28CHF 9.795
Mar ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 7.07
-27.7%
11.3%CHF 8.44CHF 5.96CHF 9.795
Feb ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 6.49
-33.6%
12.9%CHF 7.17CHF 4.88CHF 9.795
Jan ’24CHF 9.79
CHF 6.40
-34.5%
13.0%CHF 7.11CHF 4.84CHF 9.795
Dec ’23CHF 9.79
CHF 6.52
-33.4%
9.4%CHF 7.10CHF 5.43CHF 9.795
Nov ’23CHF 9.79
CHF 6.46
-33.9%
8.7%CHF 6.93CHF 5.43CHF 9.795
Oct ’23CHF 9.79
CHF 6.29
-35.7%
8.7%CHF 6.75CHF 5.29CHF 9.795
Sep ’23CHF 9.79
CHF 6.27
-35.9%
8.7%CHF 6.73CHF 5.27CHF 9.795

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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