TransAlta Corporation

TSX:TA Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$5.0b

TransAlta Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 2/6

TransAlta has a total shareholder equity of CA$1.5B and total debt of CA$4.2B, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 286.5%. Its total assets and total liabilities are CA$8.7B and CA$7.2B respectively. TransAlta's EBIT is CA$216.0M making its interest coverage ratio 0.7. It has cash and short-term investments of CA$205.0M.

Key information

286.48%

Debt to equity ratio

CA$4.20b

Debt

Interest coverage ratio0.7x
CashCA$205.00m
EquityCA$1.47b
Total liabilitiesCA$7.20b
Total assetsCA$8.66b

Recent financial health updates

Recent updates

TA: Data Centre Expansion And Dividend Increase Are Expected To Cap Future Upside

Analysts have fine tuned their model for TransAlta, keeping fair value around CA$15.39 while adjusting assumptions such as a slightly higher discount rate, a modestly weaker revenue growth outlook, a somewhat stronger profit margin, and a marginally lower future P/E. Together, these factors inform the latest price target update.

TA: Capital Intensive Data Centre Plans Will Likely Restrain Future Share Returns

Analysts have trimmed their CA$ fair value estimate for TransAlta to about CA$15.39 from roughly CA$15.72. This reflects updated assumptions for softer revenue growth, stronger profit margins and a lower expected future P/E multiple.

TA: Data Centre Expansion At Keephills Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for TransAlta to CA$28.00 from CA$20.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that they state support a higher long term price target. What's in the News Management outlined a focus on disciplined growth at the 2026 Investor Day, highlighting plans to advance legacy projects such as Centralia and Alberta data centers, pursue value accretive M&A, and progress a defined project development pipeline for long term opportunities.

TA: Keephills Data Centre Development Will Drive Long Term Margin Expansion

Analysts have kept their CA$23.45 price target for TransAlta unchanged, citing only small model tweaks, including a slightly higher discount rate and a marginally adjusted forward P/E assumption. What's in the News TransAlta signed a Memorandum of Understanding with CPP Investments and Brookfield to advance data centre development at the Keephills site in Alberta, with TransAlta as the exclusive site and power provider.

TA: Centralia Gas Conversion And Tolling Will Drive Long Term Margin Expansion

Analysts have modestly lifted their CA$23.45 price target on TransAlta as they factor in a lower discount rate, slightly higher revenue growth expectations of 1.07%, a reduced profit margin outlook of 7.94%, and a higher assumed future P/E of 44.42x. What's in the News Signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and Brookfield for data centre development at the Keephills site in Alberta, where TransAlta would be the exclusive site and power provider, with an initial power purchase agreement for about 230 MW and potential evaluation of up to 1 GW of total load, subject to regulatory approvals and definitive agreements (Key Developments).

TA: Centralia Gas Conversion And Tolling Agreement Will Support Long Term Margin Expansion

Analysts have made a minor adjustment to their fair value estimate for TransAlta, trimming the target from CA$23.55 to CA$23.45. This reflects updated views on discount rates and future P/E assumptions.

TA: Centralia Conversion To Gas Will Support Long Term Margin Expansion

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for TransAlta from about $24.27 to $23.55 per share, reflecting updated views on revenue growth expectations, profit margin assumptions near 9.1% and a slightly lower forward P/E of roughly 39.2x. What's in the News TransAlta signed a long term tolling agreement with Puget Sound Energy to convert its 700 MW Centralia Unit 2 facility from coal to natural gas generation.

TA: Future Coal Conversion Spending Will Support Weak Share Return Prospects

Analysts have lifted their price target on TransAlta from $13.50 to about $15.72, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E estimate as key drivers of the change. What's in the News TransAlta signed a long term tolling agreement with Puget Sound Energy to convert its 700 MW Centralia Unit 2 facility from coal to natural gas, with about US$600 million of capital expenditures expected and a target commercial operation date in late 2028, subject to regulatory approvals (Key Developments).

TA: Centralia Conversion Agreement Will Support Long Term Margin Expansion

Analysts now see only a slight change in TransAlta's fair value estimate, with the price target shifting from $24.00 to about $24.27 as small adjustments to discount rate, profit margin and forward P/E expectations filter through their models. What's in the News TransAlta signed a long term tolling agreement with Puget Sound Energy to convert its 700 MW Centralia Unit 2 facility from coal to natural gas.

TA: Long Term Centralia Conversion Will Support Margin Expansion And Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on TransAlta modestly from 23.59 dollars to 24.00 dollars, citing expectations for stronger profit margins that more than offset slightly lower projected revenue growth and a modestly higher discount rate. What's in the News Signed a long term tolling agreement with Puget Sound Energy to convert the 700 MW Centralia Unit 2 plant from coal to natural gas.

TA: Leadership Transition And Strong Power Production Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly refined their valuation model for TransAlta, leaving the fair value estimate effectively unchanged at approximately $23.59 per share. Slight reductions in the discount rate and future P E assumption offset one another in their outlook.

TA: Upcoming Leadership Shift And Rising Production Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for TransAlta from $23.36 to $23.59. They cite expectations for stronger revenue growth, despite a more conservative profit margin outlook and higher projected future price-to-earnings ratios.

TA: Leadership Transition And Profitability Trends Will Shape Future Performance

Narrative Update on TransAlta Analyst Price Target The analyst price target for TransAlta has increased moderately from $22.82 to $23.36. Analysts cite improved projected revenue growth and expanding profit margins in their updated assessments.

Share Buybacks and Expanding Demand Will Shape Renewable Outlook

TransAlta's analyst price target has been revised upward from $19.77 to $22.82. Analysts cite improved revenue growth expectations and a slight decrease in the perceived discount rate as key drivers of this increase.

Alberta Data Center Demand Will Drive Renewable Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target for TransAlta from $18.95 to $19.77. They cite improved profit margin expectations and a slightly lower discount rate as key factors behind the revision.

Subdued Growth No Barrier To TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Price

Oct 07
Subdued Growth No Barrier To TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Price

Alberta Data Center Demand Will Drive Renewable Expansion

TransAlta’s consensus price target has edged down to CA$18.95, reflecting minor changes in valuation as both its future P/E ratio and discount rate remained essentially stable. What's in the News From April 1, 2025 to May 30, 2025, TransAlta repurchased 1,638,600 shares (0.55%) for CAD 20 million, completing a total of 8,263,000 shares (2.75%) for CAD 101.66 million under the buyback announced on May 27, 2024.

Alberta Data Center Demand Will Drive Renewable Expansion

The slight increase in TransAlta's future P/E implies a modestly stronger earnings outlook, supporting the upward revision in the consensus analyst price target from CA$18.77 to CA$19.25. What's in the News TransAlta completed the repurchase of 8,263,000 shares (2.75%) for CAD 101.66 million under the buyback announced on May 27, 2024.

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Low P/S

May 08
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Low P/S

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 25%

Jan 28
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 25%

Does TransAlta (TSE:TA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jan 23
Does TransAlta (TSE:TA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
User avatar

Despite Data Center Ambitions In Alberta, Regulatory Hurdles And Oversupply Threaten Earnings

Regulatory hurdles and Alberta market conditions could delay synergies and compress margins, impacting earnings despite mitigation strategies.

TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Shares Climb 31% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Dec 07
TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Shares Climb 31% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

What Does TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Share Price Indicate?

Oct 31
What Does TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Share Price Indicate?

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, TransAlta (TSE:TA) Presents An Opportunity

Oct 12
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, TransAlta (TSE:TA) Presents An Opportunity

Little Excitement Around TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Earnings

Sep 26
Little Excitement Around TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Earnings

Is TransAlta Corporation (TSE:TA) Potentially Undervalued?

Jul 30
Is TransAlta Corporation (TSE:TA) Potentially Undervalued?

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: TA's short term assets (CA$1.3B) do not cover its short term liabilities (CA$1.8B).

Long Term Liabilities: TA's short term assets (CA$1.3B) do not cover its long term liabilities (CA$5.4B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: TA's net debt to equity ratio (272.5%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: TA's debt to equity ratio has increased from 115.2% to 286.5% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss-making in the past, we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable TA has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.

Forecast Cash Runway: TA is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, due to free cash flow being positive and growing by 1.3% per year.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/03 20:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TransAlta Corporation is covered by 20 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
Benjamin PhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Julien Dumoulin-SmithBofA Global Research