Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Maxim Power Corp. (TSE:MXG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Maxim Power
What Is Maxim Power's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Maxim Power had CA$56.3m in debt in March 2021; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CA$34.3m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$22.0m.
How Strong Is Maxim Power's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Maxim Power had liabilities of CA$22.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$65.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$34.3m and CA$7.82m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$45.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Maxim Power has a market capitalization of CA$141.0m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Maxim Power has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.1 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.0 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. We also note that Maxim Power improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CA$13m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Maxim Power's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Maxim Power actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
On our analysis Maxim Power's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. To be specific, it seems about as good at covering its interest expense with its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Maxim Power is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Maxim Power that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TSX:MXG
Maxim Power
An independent power producer, acquires or develops, owns, and operates power and power related projects in Alberta, Canada.
Excellent balance sheet slight.