There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Fortis (TSE:FTS) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fortis:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.047 = CA$2.6b ÷ (CA$60b - CA$5.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Thus, Fortis has an ROCE of 4.7%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 4.5%.
Check out our latest analysis for Fortis
In the above chart we have measured Fortis' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Fortis' ROCE Trend?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Fortis in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 4.7% and the business has deployed 26% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
Our Take On Fortis' ROCE
Long story short, while Fortis has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 57% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you'd like to know more about Fortis, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:FTS
Fortis
Operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries.
Solid track record, good value and pays a dividend.