Stock Analysis

Emera's (TSE:EMA) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

TSX:EMA
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Emera Incorporated's (TSE:EMA) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to CA$0.69 on 15th of November. This will take the annual payment to 5.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the XX Electric Utilities industry.

Emera's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 125% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 68.3% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 82% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
TSX:EMA Historic Dividend October 15th 2022

Emera Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was CA$1.35, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$2.76. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 7.4% over that duration. The growth of the dividend has been pretty reliable, so we think this can offer investors some nice additional income in their portfolio.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately, Emera's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. The company is paying out a lot of its profits, even though it is growing those profits pretty slowly. Limited recent earnings growth and a high payout ratio makes it hard for us to envision strong future dividend growth, unless the company should have substantial pricing power or some form of competitive advantage.

Emera's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We don't think Emera is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Emera (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about. Is Emera not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Emera might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:EMA

Emera

Through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to various customers.

Second-rate dividend payer low.

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