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Canadian Utilities (TSE:CU) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. So after glancing at the trends within Canadian Utilities (TSE:CU), we weren't too hopeful.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Canadian Utilities:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.044 = CA$975m ÷ (CA$23b - CA$1.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Canadian Utilities has an ROCE of 4.4%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 4.9% average generated by the Integrated Utilities industry.
View our latest analysis for Canadian Utilities
In the above chart we have measured Canadian Utilities' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Canadian Utilities .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
There is reason to be cautious about Canadian Utilities, given the returns are trending downwards. About five years ago, returns on capital were 7.1%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Canadian Utilities becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a related note, Canadian Utilities has decreased its current liabilities to 4.5% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line On Canadian Utilities' ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 12% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 3 warning signs for Canadian Utilities you'll probably want to know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CU
Canadian Utilities
Engages in the electricity, natural gas, renewables, pipelines, liquids, and retail energy businesses in Canada, Australia, and internationally.
Fair value second-rate dividend payer.