If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. In light of that, from a first glance at Canadian Utilities (TSE:CU), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Canadian Utilities is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.039 = CA$890m ÷ (CA$23b - CA$691m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Canadian Utilities has an ROCE of 3.9%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 4.8% average generated by the Integrated Utilities industry.
View our latest analysis for Canadian Utilities
In the above chart we have measured Canadian Utilities' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Canadian Utilities .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Canadian Utilities Tell Us?
In terms of Canadian Utilities' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 6.7%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Canadian Utilities becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line On Canadian Utilities' ROCE
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 13% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 3 warning signs facing Canadian Utilities that you might find interesting.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CU
Canadian Utilities
Engages in the electricity, natural gas, renewables, pipelines, liquids, and retail energy businesses in Canada, Australia, and internationally.
Second-rate dividend payer low.