Stock Analysis

ATCO's (TSE:ACO.X) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

ATCO Ltd. (TSE:ACO.X) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 31st of March to CA$0.5045. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 4.4%.

See our latest analysis for ATCO

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ATCO's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, ATCO's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 7.3% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 68%, which is definitely feasible to continue.

historic-dividend
TSX:ACO.X Historic Dividend February 3rd 2025

ATCO Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was CA$0.86, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$2.02. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.9% over that duration. The dividend has been growing very nicely for a number of years, and has given its shareholders some nice income in their portfolios.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, things aren't all that rosy. It's not great to see that ATCO's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 7.3% per year over the past five years. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends.

In Summary

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. While the payments look sustainable for now, earnings have been shrinking so the dividend could come under pressure in the future. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for ATCO that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:ACO.X

ATCO

Engages in the energy, logistics and transportation, shelter, and real estate services in Canada, Australia, and internationally.

Undervalued established dividend payer.

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